First Community Bancshares Stock Forecast

First Community Bancshares stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on May 02, 2024)

FCBC Signals & Forecast

The First Community Bancshares stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $33.75 and $32.94. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 10.64%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). First Community Bancshares has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk.

Buy

Special Signal Notification

Double Bottom Formation

A buy signal from a double bottom formation was found on Thursday, February 22, 2024 with a target of $34.43. Despite whether the objective of the signal formation has been reached the stock may continue to perform well.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Community Bancshares stock

First Community Bancshares finds support from accumulated volume at $33.31 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.80 (2.34%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.61%.

The First Community Bancshares stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (77). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the stock has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.

Our recommended stop-loss: $33.63 (-3.76%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. The RSI14 is 77 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 12 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (FCBC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 3rd we expect First Community Bancshares to open at $34.79, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $34.13 and $35.75, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.81 (+/-2.31%) up or down from last closing price. If First Community Bancshares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.61% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $33.31, some $1.63 (4.67%) from the current price of $34.94, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is First Community Bancshares stock A Buy?

First Community Bancshares holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Opening Price for First Community Bancshares of Friday, May 3, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.